Kristianstad vs Eskilsminne Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Kristianstad and 1.28 for Eskilsminne, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives Kristianstad the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Kristianstad home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eskilsminne away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kristianstad to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 27% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.28 goals for Kristianstad and 1.28 for Eskilsminne, a combined 2.55 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kristianstad win37%

Draw27%

Eskilsminne win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals47%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–112.7%
1–010.0%
0–110.0%
2–18.1%
1–28.1%

Recent form

Kristianstad

2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Malmo · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lund · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Laholm · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Jonkopings Sodra · 0-0 (D)

Eskilsminne

2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lund · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Skövde AIK · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic · 2-7 (L)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jonkopings Sodra · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Malmo · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ettan - Södra table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trelleborg	27	18	6	3	31	60
2	Hässleholms IF	28	16	4	8	18	52
3	Lund	28	13	8	7	19	47
4	Atvidabergs FF	27	13	8	6	13	47
5	AFC Malmo	28	12	8	8	10	44
6	Rosengård	28	10	10	8	3	40
7	Jonkopings Sodra	28	11	6	11	5	39
8	Trollhättan	28	10	8	10	0	38
9	Tvååker	28	10	8	10	-3	38
10	Olympic	28	11	3	14	-3	36
11	Skövde AIK	28	8	11	9	-9	35
12	Kristianstad	28	9	6	13	-7	33
13	Eskilsminne	28	9	6	13	-12	33
14	Laholm	28	9	5	14	-6	32
15	Angelholms FF	28	6	9	13	-14	27
16	Utsikten	28	2	6	20	-45	12

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.