· Analysis updated 06:39 UTC
Kroměříž II vs Strání Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Kroměříž II and 2.75 for Strání, a combined total of 4.13. That distribution gives Strání the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Strání win
66.3% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 2.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kroměříž II home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Strání away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Strání to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 17% / 17% / 66% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Kroměříž II and 2.75 for Strání, a combined 4.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
34%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
83%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.4%
- 1–37.7%
- 0–26.1%
- 1–16.1%
- 2–25.8%
Recent form
Kroměříž II
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Šternberk · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Strání · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bzenec · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Všechovice · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Slavičín · 1-1 (D)
Strání
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Krumvir · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bzenec · 6-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Všechovice · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavičín · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Nové Sady · 9-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-10T14:30:00.000Z · Kroměříž II 0-2 Strání (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2025-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · Kroměříž II 0-1 Strání (4. liga - Divizie E)
4. liga - Divizie E table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Všechovice | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 30 |
| 2 | Strání | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Kozlovice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | SK Krumvir | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 | Sokol Lanžhot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Slavičín | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Prostejov B | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Šternberk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Hluk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Břeclav | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Holešov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Bzenec | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -10 | 9 |
| 13 | Brumov | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -19 | 7 |
| 14 | Nové Sady | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -23 | 7 |
| 15 | Kroměříž II | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
| 16 | Baťov | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -33 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Strání win, at 66.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.