Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 2111:00

4 – 1

Friday, 20 March 2026

· Analysis updated 23:51 UTC

Kryvbas 2020 U19 vs Epitsentr U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Kryvbas 2020 U19 and 1.10 for Epitsentr U19, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Kryvbas 2020 U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kryvbas 2020 U19 win

65.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.35 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kryvbas 2020 U19 home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kryvbas 2020 U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 19% / 16% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.35 goals for Kryvbas 2020 U19 and 1.10 for Epitsentr U19, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 60%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Kryvbas 2020 U19 win65%
Draw19%
Epitsentr U19 win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 3–17.6%
  • 1–07.5%

Recent form

Kryvbas 2020 U19

  • 2026-05-22T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Oleksandria U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Veres Rivne U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-07T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-30T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Poltava U19 · 2-1 (W)

Epitsentr U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    U19 League table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Kryvbas 2020 U19 win, at 65.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

    A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.