Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 2210:00

1 – 2

Friday, 3 April 2026

· Analysis updated 13:04 UTC

Kryvbas 2020 U19 vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Kryvbas 2020 U19 and 1.53 for LNZ Cherkasy U19, a combined total of 3.01. That distribution gives LNZ Cherkasy U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kryvbas 2020 U19 home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • LNZ Cherkasy U19 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates LNZ Cherkasy U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 37% / 24% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Kryvbas 2020 U19 and 1.53 for LNZ Cherkasy U19, a combined 3.01 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kryvbas 2020 U19 win37%
Draw24%
LNZ Cherkasy U19 win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–07.3%

Recent form

Kryvbas 2020 U19

  • 2026-05-22T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Oleksandria U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Veres Rivne U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-07T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-30T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Poltava U19 · 2-1 (W)

LNZ Cherkasy U19

  • 2026-09-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Zhytomyr U19 · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

U19 League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.