Malaysia · FA Cup · Quarter-finals12:15

0 – 1

Sunday, 11 October 2026

KLFA Stadium · Analysis updated 07:56 UTC

Kuala Lumpur FA vs DPMM FC Brunei Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Kuala Lumpur FA and 1.93 for DPMM FC Brunei, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives DPMM FC Brunei the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

DPMM FC Brunei win

48.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kuala Lumpur FA home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • DPMM FC Brunei away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 1 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Kuala Lumpur FA win30%
Draw22%
DPMM FC Brunei win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–19.5%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 0–16.4%

Recent form

Kuala Lumpur FA

  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Melaka · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T12:15:00.000Z · H vs DPMM FC Brunei · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:15:00.000Z · A vs DPMM FC Brunei · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Selangor · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Perak · 0-0 (D)

DPMM FC Brunei

  • 2026-10-23T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Johor Darul Takzim FC · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Kuching FA · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuala Lumpur FA · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Kuala Lumpur FA · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Terengganu · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-10-11T12:15:00.000Z · Kuala Lumpur FA 0-1 DPMM FC Brunei (FA Cup)
  • 2026-09-20T12:15:00.000Z · Kuala Lumpur FA 3-3 DPMM FC Brunei (FA Cup)
  • 2026-08-29T09:30:00.000Z · Kuala Lumpur FA 1-0 DPMM FC Brunei (Super League)
  • 2026-02-22T14:00:00.000Z · Kuala Lumpur FA 4-0 DPMM FC Brunei (Super League)
  • 2025-09-22T12:15:00.000Z · Kuala Lumpur FA 4-0 DPMM FC Brunei (Super League)
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Johor Darul Takzim FC55002315
2Selangor5311410
3Kuching FA522168
4DPMM FC Brunei521207
5Imigresen421107
6Penang4202-66
7Kuala Lumpur FA412105
8Kelantan City4112-24
9Terengganu2101-13
10Negeri Sembilan2101-13
11Sabah FA2011-11
12Perak2011-11
13Kedah2011-21
14Kelantan Red Warrior FC2011-41
15Melaka2002-20
16Damansara2002-130

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is DPMM FC Brunei win, at 48.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.