Sarawak Stadium · Analysis updated 01:47 UTC
Kuching FA vs Kelantan Red Warrior FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.70 expected goals for Kuching FA and 1.14 for Kelantan Red Warrior FC, a combined total of 3.84. That distribution gives Kuching FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kuching FA win
70.2% probability
Expected goals
2.70 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kuching FA home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Kelantan Red Warrior FC away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kuching FA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 16% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.70 goals for Kuching FA and 1.14 for Kelantan Red Warrior FC, a combined 3.84 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.9%
- 3–18.0%
- 2–07.8%
- 3–07.0%
- 1–16.6%
Recent form
Kuching FA
- 2026-10-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Selangor · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:15:00.000Z · A vs DPMM FC Brunei · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-15T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Kitchee · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Kelantan City · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tampines Rovers · 2-2 (D)
Kelantan Red Warrior FC
- 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Imigresen · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Penang · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-08T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuching FA · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuala Lumpur FA · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuching FA · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kuching FA win, at 70.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.