· Analysis updated 21:44 UTC
Kuchl vs Golling Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.46 expected goals for Kuchl and 1.30 for Golling, a combined total of 3.76. That distribution gives Kuchl the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kuchl win
63.0% probability
Expected goals
2.46 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kuchl home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Golling away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kuchl to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 18% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.46 goals for Kuchl and 1.30 for Golling, a combined 3.76 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.2%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–07.1%
- 2–25.9%
Recent form
Kuchl
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Grödig · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Vorwarts Steyr · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Leonfelden · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bad Schallerbach · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs UFC Hallein · 4-1 (W)
Golling
- 2026-07-03T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Kuchl · 1-6 (L)
- 2025-06-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Puch · 2-3 (L)
- 2025-05-31T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Straßwalchen · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-05-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs ASV Salzburg · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-05-24T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Hallwang · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kuchl win, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.