Turkey · Türkiye Kupası · 2nd Round11:30

5 – 1

Wednesday, 7 October 2026

· Analysis updated 20:12 UTC

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor vs Beykoz İshaklıspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Küçükçekmece Sinopspor and 1.10 for Beykoz İshaklıspor, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Küçükçekmece Sinopspor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win

47.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Küçükçekmece Sinopspor home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Beykoz İshaklıspor away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Küçükçekmece Sinopspor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 26% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.53 goals for Küçükçekmece Sinopspor and 1.10 for Beykoz İshaklıspor, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win47%
Draw26%
Beykoz İshaklıspor win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 0–17.9%

Recent form

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

  • 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Karabük İdman Yurdu · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-07T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Beykoz İshaklıspor · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Pazarspor · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zonguldak Kömürspor · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs İnkılapspor · 2-0 (W)

Beykoz İshaklıspor

  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Galata · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Beykoz Anadolu · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Orduspor 1967 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Silivrispor · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win, at 47.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.