· Analysis updated 15:25 UTC
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor vs Galata Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.09 expected goals for Küçükçekmece Sinopspor and 1.28 for Galata, a combined total of 2.37. That distribution gives Galata the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.5% probability
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Galata away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Galata to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 32% / 28% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.09 goals for Küçükçekmece Sinopspor and 1.28 for Galata, a combined 2.37 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.0%
- 0–112.0%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–28.3%
Recent form
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Karabük İdman Yurdu · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-07T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Beykoz İshaklıspor · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Pazarspor · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zonguldak Kömürspor · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs İnkılapspor · 2-0 (W)
Galata
- 2026-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Çankaya FK · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bursa Yıldırımspor · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-03-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kestel Çilek · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-03-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Beykoz İshaklıspor · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Lig - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatsa Belediyespor | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Pazarspor | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Karabük İdman Yurdu | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Kartal Bulvarspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Amasyaspor 1968 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Galata | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Orduspor 1967 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Zonguldak Kömürspor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | İnkılapspor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Düzcespor | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Beykoz Anadolu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Gölcükspor | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Silivrispor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Beykoz İshaklıspor | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.