Turkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · Group 1 - 2512:30

3 – 0

Sunday, 15 March 2026

· Analysis updated 09:02 UTC

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor vs Kartal Bulvarspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.36 expected goals for Küçükçekmece Sinopspor and 1.79 for Kartal Bulvarspor, a combined total of 3.16. That distribution gives Kartal Bulvarspor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kartal Bulvarspor win

47.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.79

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Küçükçekmece Sinopspor home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kartal Bulvarspor away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kartal Bulvarspor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 29% / 23% / 48% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.36 goals for Küçükçekmece Sinopspor and 1.79 for Kartal Bulvarspor, a combined 3.16 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win29%
Draw23%
Kartal Bulvarspor win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 2–17.1%
  • 0–26.8%

Recent form

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

  • 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Karabük İdman Yurdu · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-07T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Beykoz İshaklıspor · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Pazarspor · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zonguldak Kömürspor · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs İnkılapspor · 2-0 (W)

Kartal Bulvarspor

  • 2026-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Etimesgut SK · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs 1926 Polatlı Belediye · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nilüfer Belediye · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-03-28T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Silivrispor · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-03-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kestel Çilek · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Lig - Group 1 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kartal Bulvarspor win, at 47.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.