Buzova Arena · Analysis updated 16:46 UTC
Kudrivka U19 vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.16 expected goals for Kudrivka U19 and 2.52 for Rukh Vynnyky U19, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives Rukh Vynnyky U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Rukh Vynnyky U19 win
67.0% probability
Expected goals
1.16 – 2.52
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kudrivka U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rukh Vynnyky U19 away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rukh Vynnyky U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 16% / 17% / 67% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.16 goals for Kudrivka U19 and 2.52 for Rukh Vynnyky U19, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
33%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.3%
- 0–28.0%
- 1–37.8%
- 1–17.4%
- 0–36.7%
Recent form
Kudrivka U19
- 2026-05-22T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 2-7 (L)
- 2026-05-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-05-07T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 0-2 (L)
Rukh Vynnyky U19
- 2026-09-16T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Lviv U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-03T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Veres Rivne U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
U19 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rukh Vynnyky U19 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Karpaty Lviv U19 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Livyi Bereh U19 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | LNZ Cherkasy U19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Zhytomyr U19 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Shakhtar Donetsk U19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Oleksandria U19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Veres Rivne U19 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Obolon' Kyiv U19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | SK Metalurh U19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Metalist 1925 U19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lviv U19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Kolos Kovalivka U19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Rukh Vynnyky U19 win, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.