Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 2111:00

0 – 2

Tuesday, 17 March 2026

Buzova Arena · Analysis updated 07:06 UTC

Kudrivka U19 vs Zhytomyr U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Kudrivka U19 and 1.76 for Zhytomyr U19, a combined total of 3.24. That distribution gives Zhytomyr U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.76

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kudrivka U19 home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Zhytomyr U19 away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Zhytomyr U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 33% / 23% / 44% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Kudrivka U19 and 1.76 for Zhytomyr U19, a combined 3.24 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kudrivka U19 win33%
Draw23%
Zhytomyr U19 win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 0–16.9%
  • 2–26.6%

Recent form

Kudrivka U19

  • 2026-05-22T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-05-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-07T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 0-2 (L)

Zhytomyr U19

  • 2026-10-14T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Veres Rivne U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-07T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

U19 League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rukh Vynnyky U19109013527
2Dynamo Kyiv U19118121325
3LNZ Cherkasy U1911623420
4Livyi Bereh U1911623-120
5Karpaty Lviv U1911614819
6Oleksandria U1911524217
7Metalist 1925 U1911425-614
8Veres Rivne U1910343-113
9Zhytomyr U1910406-412
10Shakhtar Donetsk U199333-112
11Lviv U1911308-109
12Obolon' Kyiv U1910235-79
13SK Metalurh U1911227-188
14Kolos Kovalivka U1911209-146

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.