Avangard · Referee Jevgeny Tsybulko, Ukraine · Analysis updated 13:36 UTC
Kudrivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.50 expected goals for Kudrivka and 1.35 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, a combined total of 1.85. That distribution gives Epitsentr Dunayivtsi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 28% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win
58.0% probability
Expected goals
0.50 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kudrivka home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
42%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–121.2%
- 0–015.7%
- 0–214.3%
- 1–110.6%
- 1–07.9%
Recent form
Kudrivka
- 2026-10-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Bukovyna · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T10:00:00.000Z · A vs LNZ Cherkasy · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Veres Rivne · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolos Kovalivka · 2-3 (L)
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
- 2026-10-24T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Kharkiv · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Karpaty · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolos Kovalivka · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bukovyna · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Livyi Bereh · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-29T10:00:00.000Z · Kudrivka 0-3 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (Premier League)
- 2026-04-06T15:00:00.000Z · Kudrivka 0-1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (Premier League)
- 2025-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · Kudrivka 2-1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (Premier League)
- 2025-05-24T09:00:00.000Z · Kudrivka 1-2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (Persha Liga)
- 2025-04-27T10:30:00.000Z · Kudrivka 0-1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (Persha Liga)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polessya | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | FC Kharkiv | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Zorya Luhansk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Bukovyna | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Veres Rivne | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Obolon'-Brovar | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -11 | 7 |
| 14 | Chornomorets | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Kryvbas KR | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | Kudrivka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win, at 58.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 28%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.