Latvia · Cup · 1st Round14:00

2 – 3

Sunday, 18 May 2025

Antona Grundmaņa Kuldīgas stadions · Analysis updated 15:12 UTC

Kuldīgas / Goldingen vs Salaspils Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Kuldīgas / Goldingen vs Salaspils in the Cup: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Salaspils away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kuldīgas / Goldingen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Kuldīgas / Goldingen and 1.18 for Salaspils, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Kuldīgas / Goldingen or Salaspils yet, so these numbers are a Cup scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Kuldīgas / Goldingen win44%
Draw26%
Salaspils win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Kuldīgas / Goldingen

    Salaspils

    • 2026-06-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Spēks · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Saldus NSS · 4-0 (W)
    • 2025-06-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Leevon / PPK · 4-5 (L)
    • 2025-06-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs RSU · 6-0 (W)
    • 2025-05-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kuldīgas / Goldingen · 3-2 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Metta / LU4301109
    2Riga330059
    3Riga Mariners3210127
    4Auda321027
    5Spēks320166
    6Leevon / PPK320136
    7Valmiera / BSS320136
    8Mārupe320126
    9Rīgas FS320126
    10BFC Daugavpils312025
    11JDFS Alberts210143
    12Aliance210123
    13Salaspils210123
    14Smiltene210113
    15JFK Ventspils210113
    16Ogre United210103
    17Grobiņa210103
    18Super Nova210103
    19Ķekava / Auda2101-43
    20JFC Jelgava1001-10
    21Rēzekne FA1001-10
    22Tukums1001-10
    23FK Liepaja1001-10
    24DSVK Traktors1001-20
    25FS Jelgava1001-20
    26Skanste1001-20
    27Upesciema Warriors1001-30
    28Parks1001-40
    29Valka1001-40
    30Saldus NSS1001-40
    31Iecava1001-50
    32Lielupe1001-60
    33Union / Daugava1001-60
    34RFK/RFS1001-110

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.