· Analysis updated 21:33 UTC
Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Kun Khalifat FC and 1.75 for Shooting Stars, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Shooting Stars the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
66.8% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kun Khalifat FC home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Shooting Stars away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Shooting Stars to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 33% / 23% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Kun Khalifat FC and 1.75 for Shooting Stars, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.6%
- 0–16.8%
- 2–26.7%
Recent form
Kun Khalifat FC
- 2026-08-31T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Abia Warriors · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Wikki Tourist · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Abia Warriors · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kano Pillars · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Plateau United · 1-1 (D)
Shooting Stars
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ranchers Bees · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kun Khalifat FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-07T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kano Pillars · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nasarawa United · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Enyimba · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 17 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Sporting Lagos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Barau FC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Nasarawa United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Kano Pillars | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Ikorodu City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 11 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Kwara United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Abia Warriors | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Kun Khalifat FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.