· Analysis updated 09:13 UTC
Kuřim vs Bystrc Kníničky Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.12 expected goals for Kuřim and 1.19 for Bystrc Kníničky, a combined total of 5.31. That distribution gives Kuřim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 86%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 86% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kuřim win
85.7% probability
Expected goals
4.12 – 1.19
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kuřim home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bystrc Kníničky away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kuřim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 86%, against 86% / 8% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.12 goals for Kuřim and 1.19 for Bystrc Kníničky, a combined 5.31 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
14%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–17.1%
- 3–16.8%
- 4–05.9%
- 5–15.8%
- 3–05.8%
Recent form
Kuřim
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bystrc Kníničky · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Velká Bíteš · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Bedrichov · 13-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Velké Meziříčí · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Pelhřimov · 2-4 (L)
Bystrc Kníničky
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuřim · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bedrichov · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Velké Meziříčí · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Pelhřimov · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ždírec nad Doubravou · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie D table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kuřim | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 25 |
| 2 | Sparta Brno | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Tatran Bohunice | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Velká Bíteš | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | FS Třebíč | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Sokol Tasovice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 7 | Havlíčkův Brod | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Znojmo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Pelhřimov | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Bystrc Kníničky | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Chotebor | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 14 | Velké Meziříčí | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -14 | 11 |
| 15 | Humpolec | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Bedrichov | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -41 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kuřim win, at 85.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 86% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.