Kuřim vs Sokol Tasovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.33 expected goals for Kuřim and 1.18 for Sokol Tasovice, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Kuřim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kuřim win

63.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.33 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Kuřim home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sokol Tasovice away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kuřim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 19% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.33 goals for Kuřim and 1.18 for Sokol Tasovice, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kuřim win63%

Draw19%

Sokol Tasovice win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

2–19.6%
1–18.2%
2–08.2%
3–17.4%
1–07.0%

Recent form

Kuřim

2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Velké Meziříčí · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Pelhřimov · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Ždírec nad Doubravou · 6-1 (W)
2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Tasovice · 1-1 (D)

Sokol Tasovice

2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Znojmo · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Chotebor · 4-1 (W)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Žďár nad Sázavou · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FS Třebíč · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Brno · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-04-12T13:30:00.000Z · Kuřim 0-2 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
2025-09-06T08:15:00.000Z · Kuřim 0-2 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
2025-06-08T15:00:00.000Z · Kuřim 0-2 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)
2024-11-02T09:15:00.000Z · Kuřim 2-0 Sokol Tasovice (4. liga - Divizie D)

4. liga - Divizie D table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kuřim	12	8	1	3	34	25
2	Sparta Brno	12	8	1	3	11	25
3	Tatran Bohunice	12	7	3	2	14	24
4	Velká Bíteš	12	7	3	2	8	24
5	FS Třebíč	12	6	3	3	-2	21
6	Sokol Tasovice	12	5	5	2	9	20
7	Havlíčkův Brod	12	6	2	4	5	20
8	Znojmo	12	5	3	4	5	18
9	Pelhřimov	12	4	2	6	-1	14
10	Bystrc Kníničky	12	3	5	4	-4	14
11	Žďár nad Sázavou	12	3	3	6	1	12
12	Ždírec nad Doubravou	12	2	5	5	-7	11
13	Chotebor	12	2	5	5	-11	11
14	Velké Meziříčí	12	2	5	5	-14	11
15	Humpolec	12	2	4	6	-7	10
16	Bedrichov	12	0	2	10	-41	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kuřim win, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.