· Analysis updated 15:09 UTC
Kuwait U17 vs Mongolia U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.84 expected goals for Kuwait U17 and 0.91 for Mongolia U17, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Kuwait U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kuwait U17 win
77.0% probability
Expected goals
2.84 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kuwait U17 home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kuwait U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 77% / 14% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.84 goals for Kuwait U17 and 0.91 for Mongolia U17, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 56%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
23%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.5%
- 3–09.0%
- 2–18.6%
- 3–18.2%
- 1–06.7%
Recent form
Kuwait U17
- 2025-11-30T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Thailand U17 · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-11-28T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Maldives U17 · 5-0 (W)
- 2025-11-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Mongolia U17 · 5-0 (W)
- 2025-11-22T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Turkmenistan U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2024-10-27T16:30:00.000Z · H vs N. Mariana Islands U17 · 9-0 (W)
Mongolia U17
- 2025-11-30T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Turkmenistan U17 · 2-6 (L)
- 2025-11-26T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Kuwait U17 · 0-5 (L)
- 2025-11-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Thailand U17 · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-11-22T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Maldives U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2024-10-27T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Nepal U17 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kuwait U17 win, at 77.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.