· Analysis updated 19:46 UTC
Kvant vs Salyut-Belgorod Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Kvant and 2.45 for Salyut-Belgorod, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Salyut-Belgorod the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Salyut-Belgorod win
67.0% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 2.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kvant home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Salyut-Belgorod away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
33%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
85%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.5%
- 0–28.6%
- 1–37.7%
- 1–17.7%
- 0–37.0%
Recent form
Kvant
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Strogino · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T02:00:00.000Z · A vs SKA Khabarovsk II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Shumbrat · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Spartak Tambov · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-21T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Avangard Kursk · 1-1 (D)
Salyut-Belgorod
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs SKA Khabarovsk II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Shumbrat · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Spartak Tambov · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Avangard Kursk · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · Kvant 1-3 Salyut-Belgorod (Second League - Group 3)
- 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · Kvant 1-3 Salyut-Belgorod (Second League - Group 3)
- 2025-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · Kvant 0-2 Salyut-Belgorod (Second League - Group 3)
- 2025-04-26T12:00:00.000Z · Kvant 1-1 Salyut-Belgorod (Second League - Group 3)
- 2024-10-13T12:00:00.000Z · Kvant 0-2 Salyut-Belgorod (Second League - Group 3)
- 2024-06-25T14:00:00.000Z · Kvant 1-1 Salyut-Belgorod (Second League - Group 3)
- 2021-05-21T15:00:00.000Z · Kvant 2-1 Salyut-Belgorod (Second League - Group 3)
- 2020-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · Kvant 0-0 Salyut-Belgorod (Second League - Group 3)
Second League - Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | FK Spartak Tambov | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Shumbrat | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Saturn Ramenskoye | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 40 |
| 5 | Ryazan | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 40 |
| 6 | Salyut-Belgorod | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Metallurg Lipetsk | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Rodina Moskva III | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Strogino | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | SKA Khabarovsk II | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 | Zenit Penza | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | -16 | 23 |
| 13 | Orel | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Rotor-2 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -20 | 14 |
| 15 | Arsenal Tula II | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -25 | 14 |
| 16 | Kvant | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | -42 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Salyut-Belgorod win, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.