· Analysis updated 14:16 UTC
Kysucké Nové Mesto vs Ružomberok II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Kysucké Nové Mesto and 3.55 for Ružomberok II, a combined total of 4.89. That distribution gives Ružomberok II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Ružomberok II win
77.9% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 3.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kysucké Nové Mesto home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Ružomberok II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ružomberok II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 10% / 12% / 78% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Kysucké Nové Mesto and 3.55 for Ružomberok II, a combined 4.89 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
22%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
90%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–37.5%
- 1–46.7%
- 1–26.4%
- 0–35.6%
- 2–35.0%
Recent form
Kysucké Nové Mesto
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Fiľakovo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rimavská Sobota · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dolný Kubín · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Čadca · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Medzibrod · 5-0 (W)
Ružomberok II
- 2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Banská Byst II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Podkonice · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Oravské Veselé · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Čadca · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fiľakovo · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - Center table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ružomberok II | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 23 |
| 2 | Námestovo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Fiľakovo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Fomat Martin | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Čadca | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Podkonice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Rimavská Sobota | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 | Novohrad Lučenec | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Baník Kalinovo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Oravské Veselé | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Banská Byst II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 12 | Sokol Medzibrod | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 13 | Kysucké Nové Mesto | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 14 | Dolný Kubín | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ružomberok II win, at 77.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 78% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.