· Analysis updated 13:33 UTC
L'Escala vs Espanyol II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for L'Escala and 1.49 for Espanyol II, a combined total of 2.69. That distribution gives Espanyol II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
69.3% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
L'Escala home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Espanyol II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Espanyol II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 31% / 26% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for L'Escala and 1.49 for Espanyol II, a combined 2.69 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.1%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.2%
- 0–27.5%
Recent form
L'Escala
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Martinenc · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Cerdanyola del Vallès · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Europa II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Grama · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Espanyol II · 0-1 (L)
Espanyol II
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Peña Sport · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Calamocha · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs SD Logroñés · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Vilassar Mar · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Gimnastic · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.