· Analysis updated 08:16 UTC
La Calamine vs Huy Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for La Calamine and 1.33 for Huy, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives La Calamine the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
La Calamine win
53.1% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
La Calamine home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Huy away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates La Calamine to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for La Calamine and 1.33 for Huy, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–07.2%
- 3–16.4%
Recent form
La Calamine
- 2026-10-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Richelle United · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ganshoren · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Entité Manageoise · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Aywaille · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Acren-Lessines · 2-3 (L)
Huy
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Ostiches · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Jette · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Jette | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Huy | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Braine | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Ganshoren | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | AS Eupen II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Acren-Lessines | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Ostiches | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Richelle United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | La Calamine | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 13 | RUS Binche | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Stade Verviers | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -21 | 4 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is La Calamine win, at 53.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.