· Analysis updated 00:47 UTC
La Chaux-de-Fonds vs Meyrin Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for La Chaux-de-Fonds and 2.05 for Meyrin, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Meyrin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Meyrin win
59.3% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 2.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Meyrin away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Meyrin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 20% / 21% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for La Chaux-de-Fonds and 2.05 for Meyrin, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.7%
- 0–29.0%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–36.8%
Recent form
La Chaux-de-Fonds
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Azzurri · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Meyrin · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Echallens · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Lausanne Sport II · 0-4 (L)
Meyrin
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Echallens · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs La Chaux-de-Fonds · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Monthey · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Coffrane · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · La Chaux-de-Fonds 2-1 Meyrin (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
- 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · La Chaux-de-Fonds 2-1 Meyrin (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
- 2025-11-01T16:00:00.000Z · La Chaux-de-Fonds 1-0 Meyrin (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
- 2025-03-29T16:00:00.000Z · La Chaux-de-Fonds 1-2 Meyrin (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
- 2024-09-14T14:00:00.000Z · La Chaux-de-Fonds 0-3 Meyrin (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
- 2024-05-04T15:00:00.000Z · La Chaux-de-Fonds 0-4 Meyrin (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
- 2023-10-28T14:30:00.000Z · La Chaux-de-Fonds 2-1 Meyrin (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
- 2023-05-20T14:00:00.000Z · La Chaux-de-Fonds 1-1 Meyrin (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
- 2022-11-12T15:30:00.000Z · La Chaux-de-Fonds 2-0 Meyrin (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
- 2022-04-30T15:00:00.000Z · La Chaux-de-Fonds 0-4 Meyrin (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azzurri Bienne | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 | Prishtina Bern | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 26 |
| 3 | Servette II | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | Lausanne Sport II | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Portalban / Gletterens | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Naters | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 17 |
| 7 | Sion II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Monthey | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Chênois | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Lancy | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 13 |
| 12 | Echallens | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Meyrin | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 14 | Stade Payerne | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Coffrane | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 16 | Vevey Sports | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -17 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Meyrin win, at 59.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.