· Analysis updated 16:27 UTC
La Linguère vs Pikine Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for La Linguère and 1.00 for Pikine, a combined total of 1.90. That distribution gives Pikine the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.6% probability
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
La Linguère home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Pikine away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
68%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–015.0%
- 0–115.0%
- 1–013.5%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–27.5%
Recent form
La Linguère
- 2026-10-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gorée · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wally Daan · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AJEL · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ouakam · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs HLM · 0-0 (D)
Pikine
- 2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Essamaye · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-17T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Génération Foot · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs HLM · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Camberene · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Casa Sport · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-19T17:00:00.000Z · La Linguère 0-4 Pikine (Ligue 1)
- 2025-12-21T16:30:00.000Z · La Linguère 0-0 Pikine (Ligue 1)
- 2025-03-09T16:30:00.000Z · La Linguère 0-0 Pikine (Ligue 1)
- 2024-10-27T16:45:00.000Z · La Linguère 0-0 Pikine (Ligue 1)
- 2024-03-03T16:30:00.000Z · La Linguère 0-0 Pikine (Ligue 1)
- 2023-11-05T16:30:00.000Z · La Linguère 1-0 Pikine (Ligue 1)
- 2023-04-16T16:30:00.000Z · La Linguère 0-1 Pikine (Ligue 1)
- 2022-11-13T16:30:00.000Z · La Linguère 0-0 Pikine (Ligue 1)
- 2022-04-24T17:00:00.000Z · La Linguère 0-0 Pikine (Ligue 1)
- 2021-12-26T16:30:00.000Z · La Linguère 2-1 Pikine (Ligue 1)
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Génération Foot | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Jaraaf | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Gorée | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Wally Daan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | HLM | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Guédiawaye | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Diambars | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | AJEL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Stade de Mbour | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | DSC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Essamaye | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Casa Sport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Pikine | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Teungueth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Ouakam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | La Linguère | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.