Laholm vs Eskilsminne Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Laholm and 1.65 for Eskilsminne, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Eskilsminne the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Laholm home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eskilsminne away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 0 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Laholm win37%

Draw23%

Eskilsminne win40%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score65%

Correct score

1–110.2%
1–28.4%
2–18.2%
2–26.8%
0–16.4%

Recent form

Laholm

2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tvååker · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lund · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Atvidabergs FF · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kristianstad · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Utsikten · 0-0 (D)

Eskilsminne

2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lund · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Skövde AIK · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic · 2-7 (L)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jonkopings Sodra · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Malmo · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · Laholm 1-0 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
2026-04-04T11:00:00.000Z · Laholm 0-1 Eskilsminne (Ettan - Södra)
2025-06-10T16:30:00.000Z · Laholm 0-2 Eskilsminne (Svenska Cupen)
2016-09-10T13:00:00.000Z · Laholm 1-0 Eskilsminne (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
2016-05-21T13:00:00.000Z · Laholm 0-2 Eskilsminne (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)

Ettan - Södra table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trelleborg	27	18	6	3	31	60
2	Hässleholms IF	28	16	4	8	18	52
3	Lund	28	13	8	7	19	47
4	Atvidabergs FF	27	13	8	6	13	47
5	AFC Malmo	28	12	8	8	10	44
6	Rosengård	28	10	10	8	3	40
7	Jonkopings Sodra	28	11	6	11	5	39
8	Trollhättan	28	10	8	10	0	38
9	Tvååker	28	10	8	10	-3	38
10	Olympic	28	11	3	14	-3	36
11	Skövde AIK	28	8	11	9	-9	35
12	Kristianstad	28	9	6	13	-7	33
13	Eskilsminne	28	9	6	13	-12	33
14	Laholm	28	9	5	14	-6	32
15	Angelholms FF	28	6	9	13	-14	27
16	Utsikten	28	2	6	20	-45	12

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.