Landskrona Idrottsplats · Referee Farouk Nehdi, Sweden · Analysis updated 13:14 UTC
Landskrona BoIS vs Helsingborg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Landskrona BoIS and 1.03 for Helsingborg, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Landskrona BoIS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Landskrona BoIS win
52.6% probability
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Landskrona BoIS home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Helsingborg away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.4%
- 0–16.9%
Recent form
Landskrona BoIS
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs United Nordic · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs GIF Sundsvall · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Helsingborg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Norrby IF · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostersunds FK · 1-1 (D)
Helsingborg
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs IK brage · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Norrby IF · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-14T17:05:00.000Z · A vs Ostersunds FK · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Landskrona BoIS · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · Landskrona BoIS 1-2 Helsingborg (Superettan)
- 2026-06-11T17:00:00.000Z · Landskrona BoIS 3-0 Helsingborg (Superettan)
- 2025-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · Landskrona BoIS 0-0 Helsingborg (Superettan)
- 2025-05-19T17:00:00.000Z · Landskrona BoIS 3-3 Helsingborg (Superettan)
- 2024-09-24T17:00:00.000Z · Landskrona BoIS 0-1 Helsingborg (Superettan)
- 2024-05-26T14:00:00.000Z · Landskrona BoIS 1-0 Helsingborg (Superettan)
- 2023-08-29T17:00:00.000Z · Landskrona BoIS 2-1 Helsingborg (Superettan)
- 2023-05-09T17:00:00.000Z · Landskrona BoIS 2-1 Helsingborg (Superettan)
- 2021-08-28T11:00:00.000Z · Landskrona BoIS 0-1 Helsingborg (Superettan)
- 2021-08-10T17:00:00.000Z · Landskrona BoIS 1-2 Helsingborg (Superettan)
Superettan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 58 |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 51 |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Landskrona BoIS | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Oddevold | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 39 |
| 7 | Osters IF | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | United Nordic | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Sandviken | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 |
| 10 | Ljungskile SK | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | IFK Varnamo | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 32 |
| 12 | Helsingborg | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Norrby IF | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | IK brage | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 25 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 27 | 6 | 1 | 20 | -39 | 19 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Landskrona BoIS win, at 52.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.