Landskrona Idrottsplats · Referee Juho Nieminen, Finland · Analysis updated 16:46 UTC
Landskrona BoIS vs Oddevold Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for Landskrona BoIS and 1.06 for Oddevold, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Landskrona BoIS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Landskrona BoIS win
50.8% probability
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.06
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Landskrona BoIS home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Oddevold away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Landskrona BoIS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 25% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.64 goals for Landskrona BoIS and 1.06 for Oddevold, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.7%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–17.1%
Recent form
Landskrona BoIS
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs United Nordic · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs GIF Sundsvall · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Helsingborg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Norrby IF · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostersunds FK · 1-1 (D)
Oddevold
- 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs United Nordic · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs IFK Varnamo · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs IFK Norrkoping · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandviken · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Falkenbergs FF · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Superettan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 45 |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 44 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Landskrona BoIS | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Oddevold | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 36 |
| 7 | Osters IF | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | United Nordic | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Sandviken | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 34 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | IFK Varnamo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 | Ljungskile SK | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Norrby IF | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Orebro SK | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -12 | 24 |
| 15 | IK brage | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 23 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | -34 | 19 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Landskrona BoIS win, at 50.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.