· Analysis updated 01:41 UTC
Landvetter IS vs Västra Frölunda Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Landvetter IS and 1.83 for Västra Frölunda, a combined total of 2.98. That distribution gives Västra Frölunda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Västra Frölunda win
53.2% probability
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Landvetter IS home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Västra Frölunda away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–28.5%
- 2–16.2%
Recent form
Landvetter IS
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hestrafor · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Astrio · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Qviding FIF · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Torslanda · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Böljan · 1-1 (D)
Västra Frölunda
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Åstorp · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Galtabacks · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Dalstorps · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Onsala · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lindome · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · Landvetter IS 0-1 Västra Frölunda (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
- 2026-06-05T17:00:00.000Z · Landvetter IS 3-0 Västra Frölunda (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
- 2025-08-03T11:00:00.000Z · Landvetter IS 2-1 Västra Frölunda (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
- 2025-05-09T17:00:00.000Z · Landvetter IS 0-2 Västra Frölunda (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
- 2024-08-04T11:00:00.000Z · Landvetter IS 1-0 Västra Frölunda (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
- 2024-03-28T18:00:00.000Z · Landvetter IS 2-3 Västra Frölunda (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
- 2023-10-14T11:00:00.000Z · Landvetter IS 1-4 Västra Frölunda (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
- 2023-06-16T17:00:00.000Z · Landvetter IS 1-2 Västra Frölunda (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
- 2022-09-30T17:00:00.000Z · Landvetter IS 0-1 Västra Frölunda (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
- 2022-06-17T17:15:00.000Z · Landvetter IS 0-1 Västra Frölunda (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
Division 2 - Västra Götaland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Landvetter IS | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Dalstorps | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Jonsered | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 42 |
| 4 | Hestrafor | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Västra Frölunda | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Qviding FIF | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Böljan | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Lindome | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Torslanda | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Onsala | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Kongahälla | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Åstorp | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 | Galtabacks | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 | Astrio | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | -40 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Västra Frölunda win, at 53.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.