· Analysis updated 08:32 UTC
LASK Juniors vs SK Vorwarts Steyr Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.65 expected goals for LASK Juniors and 0.83 for SK Vorwarts Steyr, a combined total of 3.47. That distribution gives LASK Juniors the largest share of the 1X2 market at 76%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 76% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
LASK Juniors win
76.1% probability
Expected goals
2.65 – 0.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
LASK Juniors home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SK Vorwarts Steyr away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
24%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.9%
- 3–09.6%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.2%
- 3–17.9%
Recent form
LASK Juniors
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gurten · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ried II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Wals-Grünau · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Seekirchen · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs TSV St. Johann · 0-2 (L)
SK Vorwarts Steyr
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuchl · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs LASK Juniors · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grödig · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wohnbau Dietach · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Bad Schallerbach · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2025-04-04T17:00:00.000Z · LASK Juniors 0-0 SK Vorwarts Steyr (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2024-09-06T16:30:00.000Z · LASK Juniors 2-2 SK Vorwarts Steyr (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2024-03-01T18:00:00.000Z · LASK Juniors 1-0 SK Vorwarts Steyr (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2023-07-28T17:00:00.000Z · LASK Juniors 0-1 SK Vorwarts Steyr (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2012-04-22T14:15:00.000Z · LASK Juniors 1-0 SK Vorwarts Steyr (Regionalliga - Mitte)
- 2011-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · LASK Juniors 0-6 SK Vorwarts Steyr (Regionalliga - Mitte)
Regionalliga - North table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wallern / Marienkirchen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 25 |
| 2 | LASK Juniors | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 24 |
| 3 | Gurten | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Wals-Grünau | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Kuchl | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Bad Schallerbach | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | SK Vorwarts Steyr | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Leonfelden | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Grödig | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | TSV St. Johann | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Ried II | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 14 |
| 12 | Seekirchen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | UFC Hallein | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Wohnbau Dietach | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -19 | 9 |
| 15 | Pinzgau Saalfelden | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -16 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is LASK Juniors win, at 76.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.