· Analysis updated 15:07 UTC
LASK W vs Austria Wien W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.68 expected goals for LASK W and 2.20 for Austria Wien W, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives Austria Wien W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Austria Wien W win
72.3% probability
Expected goals
0.68 – 2.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
LASK W home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Austria Wien W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austria Wien W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 10% / 18% / 72% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.68 goals for LASK W and 2.20 for Austria Wien W, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
28%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
90%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–213.7%
- 0–112.4%
- 0–310.0%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–18.4%
Recent form
LASK W
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rheindorf Altach W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-22T10:30:00.000Z · H vs St. Pölten W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-14T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-07T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 3-2 (W)
Austria Wien W
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Rapid W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-10-01T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Inter Milano W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Chelsea W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Pölten W | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 22 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz W | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | Austria Wien W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19 |
| 4 | Rheindorf Altach W | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Salzburg W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 13 |
| 6 | LASK W | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 7 | First Vienna W | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 8 | SK Rapid W | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 6 |
| 9 | Südburgenland W | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -18 | 5 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -19 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Austria Wien W win, at 72.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.