· Analysis updated 14:53 UTC
Le Havre vs RED Star FC 93 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Le Havre and 1.65 for RED Star FC 93, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives RED Star FC 93 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
RED Star FC 93 win
50.8% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Le Havre home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
RED Star FC 93 away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates RED Star FC 93 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 25% / 25% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for Le Havre and 1.65 for RED Star FC 93, a combined 2.72 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.9%
- 1–07.0%
Recent form
Le Havre
- 2026-10-18T15:15:00.000Z · H vs Auxerre · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T15:15:00.000Z · A vs Lille · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Boulogne · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Toulouse · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Angers · 0-0 (D)
RED Star FC 93
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Guingamp · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-14T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Metz · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Laval · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Reims · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Boulogne · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is RED Star FC 93 win, at 50.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.