Leamington vs Worcester City Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Leamington and 1.30 for Worcester City, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives Leamington the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Leamington or Draw

68.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Leamington win44%

Draw25%

Worcester City win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–111.5%
2–19.1%
1–08.9%
1–27.5%
0–17.3%

Why the model likes this

Worcester City away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Leamington to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 25% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Leamington and 1.30 for Worcester City, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Leamington

Worcester City

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leighton Town · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Alvechurch · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stratford Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Merthyr Town · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-14T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Evesham United · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.