· Analysis updated 14:46 UTC
Lebanon U17 vs Chinese Taipei U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Lebanon U17 and 0.80 for Chinese Taipei U17, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Lebanon U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lebanon U17 win
61.0% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 0.80
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lebanon U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 23% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for Lebanon U17 and 0.80 for Chinese Taipei U17, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 61% with moderate confidence, from a data-quality score of 38/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.4%
- 2–012.0%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.4%
Recent form
Lebanon U17
- 2025-11-28T14:00:00.000Z · A vs India U17 · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-11-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs IR Iran U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-11-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Palestine U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-11-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Chinese Taipei U17 · 0-0 (D)
Chinese Taipei U17
- 2025-11-30T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Palestine U17 · 1-3 (L)
- 2025-11-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs India U17 · 1-3 (L)
- 2025-11-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs IR Iran U17 · 0-5 (L)
- 2025-11-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lebanon U17 · 0-0 (D)
- 2024-10-27T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Palestine U17 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lebanon U17 win, at 61.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.