· Analysis updated 05:17 UTC
Lech Poznań U19 vs Escola Varsovia U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for Lech Poznań U19 and 0.92 for Escola Varsovia U19, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Lech Poznań U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lech Poznań U19 win
62.8% probability
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lech Poznań U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Escola Varsovia U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lech Poznań U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 21% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.02 goals for Lech Poznań U19 and 0.92 for Escola Varsovia U19, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.7%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 3–07.2%
Recent form
Lech Poznań U19
- 2026-10-18T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Jagiellonia U19 · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Korona Kielce U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Miedź Legnica U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Arka Gdynia U19 · 5-2 (W)
Escola Varsovia U19
- 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Arkonia U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arka Gdynia U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Rzeszów U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Raków Częstochowa U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Resovia U19 · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Central Youth League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa U19 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Miedź Legnica U19 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Śląsk Wrocław U19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisła Kraków U19 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Górnik Zabrze U19 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Zagłębie Lubin U19 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia U19 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Arkonia U19 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Raków Częstochowa U19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Lech Poznań U19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Talent Warszawa U19 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | Polonia Warszawa U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 | Stal Rzeszów U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce U19 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia U19 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 | Escola Varsovia U19 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lech Poznań U19 win, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.