Stadion Wojska Polskiego · Analysis updated 10:52 UTC
Legia W vs UKS Łódź W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.78 expected goals for Legia W and 1.38 for UKS Łódź W, a combined total of 4.15. That distribution gives Legia W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Legia W win
66.7% probability
Expected goals
2.78 – 1.38
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Legia W home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
UKS Łódź W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Legia W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 17% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.78 goals for Legia W and 1.38 for UKS Łódź W, a combined 4.15 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.3%
- 3–17.7%
- 2–06.1%
- 1–16.0%
- 2–25.7%
Recent form
Legia W
- 2026-08-29T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Sleza Wroclaw W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lech Poznan W · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-09T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T11:15:00.000Z · H vs Pogon Szczecin W · 1-2 (L)
UKS Łódź W
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Legia W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Pogon Szczecin W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Akademia Piłkarska LG W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sleza Wroclaw W · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ekstraliga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKS Katowice W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 |
| 2 | Górnik Łęczna W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Czarni Sosnowiec W | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Akademia Piłkarska LG W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Legia W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | UJ Krakow W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Sleza Wroclaw W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala W | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 11 | UKS Łódź W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw W | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Legia W win, at 66.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.