Legia Warszawa II vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Legia Warszawa II and 1.13 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Legia Warszawa II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Legia Warszawa II win

54.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Legia Warszawa II home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Sandecja Nowy Sącz away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Legia Warszawa II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 23% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Legia Warszawa II and 1.13 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Legia Warszawa II win55%

Draw23%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score57%

Correct score

1–110.5%
2–19.8%
1–09.3%
2–08.8%
3–16.2%

Recent form

Legia Warszawa II

2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Chojniczanka Chojnice · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Tychy 71 · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-14T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Śląsk Wrocław II · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Lechia Zielona Góra · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Podhale Nowy Targ · 3-0 (W)

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Środa · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-28T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Resovia Rzeszów · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Górnik Łęczna · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Świt Skolwin · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Avia Świdnik · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

II Liga - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	13	10	2	1	15	32
2	Tychy 71	13	7	6	0	12	27
3	Górnik Łęczna	13	7	2	4	13	23
4	Olimpia Grudziądz	13	6	4	3	-1	22
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	13	5	5	3	2	20
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	5	4	4	4	19
7	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	13	5	4	4	3	19
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	13	6	1	6	-2	19
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	13	5	3	5	3	18
10	Hutnik Kraków	13	5	3	5	2	18
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	13	5	3	5	0	18
12	Avia Świdnik	13	5	2	6	-4	17
13	Legia Warszawa II	13	5	1	7	3	16
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	4	4	5	-4	16
15	Sokół Kleczew	13	2	6	5	-11	12
16	Śląsk Wrocław II	13	3	1	9	-6	10
17	Świt Skolwin	13	2	3	8	-16	9
18	Resovia Rzeszów	13	0	6	7	-13	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Legia Warszawa II win, at 54.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.