Poland · II Liga - East · Regular Season - 311:00

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Sunday, 9 August 2026

Legia Training Center · Analysis updated 03:52 UTC

Legia Warszawa II vs Świt Skolwin Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.72 expected goals for Legia Warszawa II and 0.96 for Świt Skolwin, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives Legia Warszawa II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws roughly 26% of the time.

Model pick

Legia Warszawa II to Win

74.4% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.72 – 0.96

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Legia Warszawa II win74%
Draw15%
Świt Skolwin win11%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

26%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 2–09.4%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 3–08.5%
  • 3–18.1%
  • 1–06.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Legia Warszawa II home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Legia Warszawa II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 74%, against 74% / 15% / 11% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.72 goals for Legia Warszawa II and 0.96 for Świt Skolwin, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 57%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Legia Warszawa II

  • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Świt Skolwin · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Znicz Pruszków · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unia Skierniewice · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Radomiak Radom · 1-2 (L)

Świt Skolwin

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.