WAFA Park · Analysis updated 09:51 UTC
Legon Cities vs Techiman Liberty Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.92 expected goals for Legon Cities and 1.76 for Techiman Liberty, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Techiman Liberty the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Techiman Liberty win
57.0% probability
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.76
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Legon Cities home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Techiman Liberty away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Techiman Liberty to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 20% / 23% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.92 goals for Legon Cities and 1.76 for Techiman Liberty, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.0%
- 1–111.1%
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–06.9%
Recent form
Legon Cities
- 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Techiman Liberty · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs VC Warriors · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dormaa · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs KAC Soccer · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-03-30T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Berekum Arsenal · 1-0 (W)
Techiman Liberty
- 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Eleven Wonders · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Mighty Royals · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Yapei · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs KAC Soccer · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dormaa · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division One League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebusua Dwarfs | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 |
| 1 | Koforidua | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 |
| 1 | Sankara Nationals | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 |
| 1 | VC Warriors | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Nations | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Inter Allies | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Real Tamale | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Mighty Royals | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Pro-Sports Academy | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Hakla SC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Steadfast | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Techiman Liberty | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Ebony FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Accra Lions | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Berekum City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Yapei | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | Soccer Intellectuals | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Okwawu | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Wa Power | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Bectero Sasana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Nsuopun Fidelity | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | WAFA | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Kalibi SC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 5 |
| 6 | Dormaa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Elmina Sharks | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Golden Kicks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tamale City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Eleven Wonders | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Fettehman United | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | 7th Wave | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Northern City | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 8 | KAC Soccer | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Skyy | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Nania | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Ebiemo FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Home Stars | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | PAC Academy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | True Democracy | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Rospak | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Attram de Visser | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | King Faisal | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Great Olympics | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Sefwi All Stars | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Nukunu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Future Stars | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 15 | Kotoku Royals | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | New Edubiase | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Golden Warriors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Techiman Liberty win, at 57.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.