Suriname · Eerste Divisie · Matchweek 2623:00
Leo VictorWDWW

4 – 0

Sunday, 3 May 2026

· Analysis updated 16:28 UTC

Leo Victor vs FC Inter Wanica Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.32 expected goals for Leo Victor and 0.68 for FC Inter Wanica, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Leo Victor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Leo Victor win

74.5% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.32 – 0.68

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Leo Victor home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Leo Victor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 75% / 17% / 9% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.32 goals for Leo Victor and 0.68 for FC Inter Wanica, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Leo Victor win75%
Draw17%
FC Inter Wanica win9%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

26%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score44%

Correct score

  • 2–013.5%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 3–010.4%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–17.8%

Recent form

Leo Victor

  • 2026-10-25T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Robin Hood · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-18T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Voorwaarts · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-15T00:15:00.000Z · H vs Notch · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T00:15:00.000Z · H vs PVV · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-24T20:30:00.000Z · A vs Inter Moengotapoe · 4-2 (W)

FC Inter Wanica

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-05-03T23:00:00.000Z · Leo Victor 4-0 FC Inter Wanica (Eerste Divisie)
    • 2026-02-22T23:00:00.000Z · Leo Victor 3-1 FC Inter Wanica (Eerste Divisie)
    • 2025-12-21T23:00:00.000Z · Leo Victor 3-0 FC Inter Wanica (Eerste Divisie)
    • 2025-04-19T20:30:00.000Z · Leo Victor 1-1 FC Inter Wanica (Eerste Divisie)
    • 2025-02-08T20:30:00.000Z · Leo Victor 0-2 FC Inter Wanica (Eerste Divisie)
    • 2024-07-14T20:30:00.000Z · Leo Victor 0-0 FC Inter Wanica (Eerste Divisie)
    • 2024-04-21T23:00:00.000Z · Leo Victor 0-2 FC Inter Wanica (Eerste Divisie)
    • 2023-07-23T23:00:00.000Z · Leo Victor 10-3 FC Inter Wanica (Eerste Divisie)
    • 2023-04-15T00:00:00.000Z · Leo Victor 2-2 FC Inter Wanica (Eerste Divisie)
    • 2022-06-18T22:00:00.000Z · Leo Victor 2-0 FC Inter Wanica (Eerste Divisie)

    Eerste Divisie table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Leo Victor4310710
    2Robin Hood320156
    3Inter Moengotapoe220046
    4Transvaal220046
    5Notch412135
    6Voorwaarts412115
    7FC Inter Wanica2101-33
    8Broki3021-32
    9Flora2011-11
    10Coronie Boys2002-40
    11PVV4004-130

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Leo Victor win, at 74.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

    A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.