· Analysis updated 06:29 UTC
Leo Victor vs PVV Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.10 expected goals for Leo Victor and 0.39 for PVV, a combined total of 3.48. That distribution gives Leo Victor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 90%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 90% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Leo Victor win
89.5% probability
Expected goals
3.10 – 0.39
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Leo Victor home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
PVV away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Leo Victor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 90%, against 90% / 8% / 2% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.10 goals for Leo Victor and 0.39 for PVV, a combined 3.48 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
98%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
10%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–015.2%
- 2–014.8%
- 4–011.8%
- 1–09.5%
- 5–07.3%
Recent form
Leo Victor
- 2026-10-25T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Robin Hood · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Voorwaarts · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-15T00:15:00.000Z · H vs Notch · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-11T00:15:00.000Z · H vs PVV · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-05-24T20:30:00.000Z · A vs Inter Moengotapoe · 4-2 (W)
PVV
- 2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Transvaal · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-21T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Voorwaarts · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T20:30:00.000Z · A vs Notch · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-11T00:15:00.000Z · A vs Leo Victor · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-07-12T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Inter Moengotapoe · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leo Victor | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Robin Hood | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Inter Moengotapoe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Transvaal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Notch | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Voorwaarts | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Inter Wanica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Broki | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 |
| 9 | Flora | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Coronie Boys | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 11 | PVV | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -13 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Leo Victor win, at 89.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 30% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 90% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.