Franz Haas Stadion · Analysis updated 07:47 UTC
Leobendorf vs Fach-Donaufeld Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.68 expected goals for Leobendorf and 1.25 for Fach-Donaufeld, a combined total of 1.93. That distribution gives Fach-Donaufeld the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Fach-Donaufeld win
50.2% probability
Expected goals
0.68 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Leobendorf home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fach-Donaufeld away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–118.2%
- 0–014.6%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–211.4%
- 1–09.8%
Recent form
Leobendorf
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fach-Donaufeld · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Wiener Viktoria · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Wiener SC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 2-1 (W)
Fach-Donaufeld
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Wienerberg · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloggnitz · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiener Viktoria · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Wiener SC · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-14T15:00:00.000Z · Leobendorf 0-1 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2025-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 1-0 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2025-04-21T15:00:00.000Z · Leobendorf 1-3 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2024-08-31T16:00:00.000Z · Leobendorf 0-1 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2023-11-11T15:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 0-0 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2023-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · Leobendorf 4-1 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2023-04-22T15:00:00.000Z · Leobendorf 2-2 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2022-10-01T14:30:00.000Z · Leobendorf 0-2 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
Regionalliga - Ost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 28 |
| 2 | Wiener SC | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | Oberwart | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Traiskirchen | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Krems / Rehberg | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Wiener Viktoria | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Fach-Donaufeld | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Scheiblingkirchen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 19 |
| 9 | Parndorf | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Leobendorf | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Donau | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 13 | Gloggnitz | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Favoritner AC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 13 |
| 15 | SV Horn | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -40 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Fach-Donaufeld win, at 50.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.