Leotar vs Rudar Prijedor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.73 expected goals for Leotar and 0.66 for Rudar Prijedor, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Leotar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Leotar win

80.7% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.73 – 0.66

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Leotar home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rudar Prijedor away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Leotar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 81% / 13% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.73 goals for Leotar and 0.66 for Rudar Prijedor, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Leotar win81%

Draw13%

Rudar Prijedor win7%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

19%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals66%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score45%

Correct score

2–012.5%
3–011.4%
1–09.2%
2–18.3%
4–07.8%

Recent form

Leotar

2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Laktaši · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Romanija Pale · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Majevica Lopare · 6-0 (W)
2026-09-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Potkozarje · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Famos Vojkovići · 3-0 (W)

Rudar Prijedor

2026-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Famos Vojkovići · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zvijezda 09 · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kozara Gradiška · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Omarska · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Laktaši · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - RS table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Leotar	13	10	3	0	26	33
2	Laktaši	13	10	1	2	29	31
3	Drina Zvornik	13	6	3	4	14	21
4	Potkozarje	13	6	2	5	1	20
5	FK Majevica Lopare	12	5	4	3	6	19
6	Kozara Gradiška	13	5	4	4	1	19
7	Rudar Prijedor	13	5	3	5	-3	18
8	FK Romanija Pale	13	6	0	7	-6	18
9	Famos Vojkovići	13	5	2	6	-5	17
10	Slavija	13	3	6	4	-5	15
11	Sutjeska Foča	12	3	2	7	-9	11
12	Velež Nevesinje	13	3	2	8	-23	11
13	Omarska	13	2	4	7	-11	10
14	Zvijezda 09	13	2	2	9	-15	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Leotar win, at 80.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 81% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.