· Analysis updated 07:16 UTC
Lernayin Artsakh vs Ecoville Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.75 expected goals for Lernayin Artsakh and 1.53 for Ecoville, a combined total of 5.28. That distribution gives Lernayin Artsakh the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lernayin Artsakh win
77.0% probability
Expected goals
3.75 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lernayin Artsakh home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lernayin Artsakh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 77% / 12% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.75 goals for Lernayin Artsakh and 1.53 for Ecoville, a combined 5.28 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 88% and both teams to score at 75%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
23%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.8%
- 4–16.4%
- 2–15.5%
- 3–25.2%
- 4–24.9%
Recent form
Lernayin Artsakh
- 2026-09-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Banants II · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ecoville · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mika · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ararat-Armenia II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs BKMA II · 0-4 (L)
Ecoville
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andranik | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Lernayin Artsakh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Araks Ararat | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Bentonit Ijevan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Mika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Sardarapat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Syunik | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Cilicia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 9 | Echmiadzin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 10 | Ecoville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lernayin Artsakh win, at 77.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.