Levante II vs SC Torrevieja Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.42 expected goals for Levante II and 0.68 for SC Torrevieja, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Levante II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 76%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 76% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Levante II win

75.9% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.42 – 0.68

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Levante II home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Levante II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 76%, against 76% / 16% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.42 goals for Levante II and 0.68 for SC Torrevieja, a combined 3.10 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 45%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

Levante II win76%

Draw16%

SC Torrevieja win9%

Double chance 1X

92%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

24%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score45%

Correct score

2–013.2%
1–010.9%
3–010.7%
2–19.0%
1–17.4%

Recent form

Levante II

2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Utiel · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-26T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Villarreal III · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-20T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Ontinyent 1931 · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Buñol · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Saguntino · 1-2 (L)

SC Torrevieja

2026-10-11T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Saguntino · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Roda · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-27T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Soneja · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Acero · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-13T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Vall de Uxó · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Villarreal III	7	6	0	1	7	18
2	Levante II	6	4	1	1	9	13
3	Vall de Uxó	6	3	3	0	6	12
4	Hércules II	6	3	2	1	3	11
5	Torrent	6	3	1	2	3	10
6	Eldense B	7	2	4	1	2	10
7	Roda	6	2	3	1	2	9
8	Crevillente	6	2	3	1	1	9
9	Acero	7	1	5	1	1	8
10	Saguntino	6	2	2	2	0	8
11	SC Torrevieja	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Ontinyent 1931	6	2	0	4	-1	6
13	Jove Español	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Atzeneta	6	0	5	1	-1	5
15	Buñol	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Torrellano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Soneja	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Utiel	6	0	3	3	-6	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Levante II win, at 75.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.