· Analysis updated 16:41 UTC
Levante II vs SC Torrevieja Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Levante II and 0.68 for SC Torrevieja, a combined total of 2.16. That distribution gives Levante II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Levante II win
56.7% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 0.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Levante II home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Levante II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 26% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Levante II and 0.68 for SC Torrevieja, a combined 2.16 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 37% and both teams to score at 38%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–017.1%
- 2–012.7%
- 1–111.6%
- 0–011.5%
- 2–18.6%
Recent form
Levante II
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Utiel · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Villarreal III · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Ontinyent 1931 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Buñol · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Saguntino · 1-2 (L)
SC Torrevieja
- 2026-10-11T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Saguntino · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Roda · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Soneja · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Acero · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Vall de Uxó · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Vall de Uxó | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Torrent | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Hércules II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Roda | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Eldense B | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Levante II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Saguntino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Crevillente | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Acero | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Ontinyent 1931 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | SC Torrevieja | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Buñol | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Jove Español | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Atzeneta | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Soneja | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Utiel | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Torrellano | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Levante II win, at 56.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.