· Analysis updated 09:05 UTC
Levski Sofia vs Akademik Svishtov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Levski Sofia and 1.30 for Akademik Svishtov, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Levski Sofia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.2% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Levski Sofia home form
3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Akademik Svishtov away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Levski Sofia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 26% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Levski Sofia and 1.30 for Akademik Svishtov, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–19.7%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
Recent form
Levski Sofia
- 2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Plzen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pleven · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z · A vs NEC Nijmegen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Cherno More Varna · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-17T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Red Bull Salzburg · 0-1 (L)
Akademik Svishtov
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sevlievo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Sofia · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Chavdar Troyan · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Benkovski Isperih · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Pavlikeni · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.