Lichtenberg vs Makkabi Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Lichtenberg and 1.20 for Makkabi, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Lichtenberg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Lichtenberg win

47.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Lichtenberg home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Makkabi away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lichtenberg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 25% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Lichtenberg and 1.20 for Makkabi, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Lichtenberg win47%

Draw25%

Makkabi win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–111.6%
1–09.6%
2–19.4%
2–07.8%
0–17.1%

Recent form

Lichtenberg

2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Tennis Borussia · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Makkabi · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Lok Stendal · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-30T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Klosterfelde · 1-2 (L)

Makkabi

2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Siedenbollentin · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lichtenberg · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	BAK '07	6	4	2	0	6	14
2	Siedenbollentin	6	4	1	1	7	13
3	Lichtenberg	6	4	0	2	4	12
4	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	6	3	1	2	2	10
5	Optik Rathenow	6	3	1	2	0	10
6	Hertha Zehlendorf	6	3	0	3	2	9
7	Anker Wismar	6	3	0	3	-2	9
8	Hansa Rostock II	6	2	2	2	7	8
9	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Mecklenburg Schwerin	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	FC Lok Stendal	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Union Klosterfelde	6	2	1	3	-4	7
13	Tennis Borussia	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Sparta Lichtenberg	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Makkabi	6	1	2	3	-9	5
16	Neustrelitz	6	1	0	5	-7	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Lichtenberg win, at 47.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.