· Analysis updated 19:23 UTC
Lijabatho vs CFFA Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for Lijabatho and 0.90 for CFFA, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives Lijabatho the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lijabatho win
54.9% probability
Expected goals
1.64 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lijabatho home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lijabatho to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 25% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.64 goals for Lijabatho and 0.90 for CFFA, a combined 2.54 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 47% and both teams to score at 48%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.0%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–010.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–07.9%
Recent form
Lijabatho
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Members · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Manonyane · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Lioli · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs CFFA · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs CFFA · 0-2 (L)
CFFA
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lijabatho · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lijabatho · 2-0 (W)
- 2022-09-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Royal Leopards · 1-2 (L)
- 2022-09-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Royal Leopards · 2-3 (L)
- 2021-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Interclube · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lijabatho win, at 54.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.