Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.91 expected goals for Lille and 0.94 for Stade Brestois 29, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Lille the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.

Model pick

Lille to Win

60.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.91 – 0.94

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Lille win60%

Draw22%

Stade Brestois 29 win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–011.0%
2–010.5%
1–110.4%
2–19.9%
3–06.7%

Why the model likes this

Lille home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lille to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 22% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.91 goals for Lille and 0.94 for Stade Brestois 29, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Lille

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Everton · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hamburger SV · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs OH Leuven · 6-3 (W)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Union St. Gilloise · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 3-0 (W)

Stade Brestois 29

2026-08-08T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Venezia · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Briochin · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Guingamp · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Wakrah · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Concarneau · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.