Futbalové ihrisko GFC Grinava · Analysis updated 01:37 UTC
Limbach vs Bernolákovo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.84 expected goals for Limbach and 1.37 for Bernolákovo, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Limbach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Limbach win
48.7% probability
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.37
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Limbach home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Limbach to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 23% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.84 goals for Limbach and 1.37 for Bernolákovo, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–07.4%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.9%
Recent form
Limbach
- 2025-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovenský Grob · 0-0 (D)
- 2025-07-30T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Kozmos · 4-0 (W)
- 2024-07-27T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Domino · 1-5 (L)
- 2023-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Igram · 1-2 (L)
- 2022-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Bernolákovo · 0-2 (L)
Bernolákovo
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rača · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-07-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Malinovo · 1-1 (D)
- 2024-07-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nová Dedinka · 0-2 (L)
- 2023-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rača · 1-7 (L)
- 2023-07-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Danubia Veľký Biel · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Limbach win, at 48.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.